The first run of the Week 11 quarterback projections look just a little bit crazy. Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, Tua Tagovailoa, and Derek Carr all project ahead of Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, and Jalen Hurts.
For Wilson and Hurts, it's pretty easy to see why. Volume concerns. Wilson's Seahawks are running a league-worst 56 plays per game and they've been run-heavy to boot. Speaking of run-heavy, Hurts hasn't attempted even 25 passes in a game since Week 7 and he's only topped 30 attempts once since Week 5.
Rodgers is a bit more complicated. He has had three pretty bad games this season. The miserable game against the Saints in Week 1, the game he played without Davante Adams, and his return last week. While it's easy to make excuses for those bad games, it's also true that he has more bad weeks than top-six weeks this season.
There are adjustments made throughout the week and I wouldn't be surprised if Rodgers moves up a few spots by the end of the week. But people making waiver claims can't wait too long. And waivers are pretty complicated.
Cam Newton is projected at 17th and won't likely rank inside my top-12 quarterbacks this week. But in most situations he'd be my favorite quarterback to add, especially if Tagovailoa is already rostered. Because if Cam looks good this week, you may just have yourself a must-start quarterback, I still believe he has that kind of upside.
Let's get to the rest of the Week 11 preview:
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Week 11 QB Preview
Numbers to know
- 18 -- Jalen Hurts pass attempts per game the past three weeks.
- 23.3 -- Tua Tagovailoa has averaged 23.3 FPPG in his four complete games.
- 5 -- Ryan Tannehill has five rush attempts inside the 5-yard line. Among QBs, only Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson have more.
- 26 -- Justin Fields has 26 rush attempts in his past three games. If he has success against Baltimore, we may be looking at an emerging top-12 QB.
- 11.7 -- The Bills are allowing 11.7 FPPG to opposing QBs. That's 20% better than any other defense.
- 19.9% -- Nearly a fifth of Baker Mayfield's throws have been graded bad throws by Pro Football Reference, the highest mark for an active non-rookie this season.
- 6.1% -- Mike White has been intercepted on more than six percent of his pass attempts. No matter who starts for the Jets, you should start the Dolphins defense.
- 0 -- Russell Wilson's Seahawks were shut out for the first time in his career as a starter.
Matchups that matter
Waiver Wire Targets
DFS Plays
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